01
Signal
Category 4 hurricane approaching Port of Savannah
External weather intelligence is treated as one signal input, then checked for freshness, severity, and operational relevance.
AR-Score Product Demo
See exactly how a disruption signal becomes a scored Decision Brief.
ApertureRisks Score (AR-Score) is the current exposure measure. AR-Score measures the severity, credibility, and business relevance of a verified exposure. Response Readiness separately measures the strength of the governed response preparation.
Public demo data is representative. Client-specific AR-Scores appear only when supplier, PO, BOM, contract, lane, facility, margin, and evidence records support the exposure claim.
Sample AR-Score
88High response priority
Signal confidence
Source freshness, corroboration, severity, and reliability.
Weight31.25%
Exposure relevance
Confirmed connection to supplier, PO, lane, facility, contract, and customer promise records.
Weight37.50%
Business impact
Estimated revenue, margin, service, and fulfillment exposure tied to operating data.
Weight31.25%
Response Readiness · separate measure
78
Governed action evidence supports the owner, alternate path, deadline, and approval state. This value does not change AR-Score v2.
What the score means
A high AR-Score means the verified exposure is credible, relevant, and materially consequential. Response Readiness is shown beside it, never inside it. Neither measure executes a recommendation automatically.
Formula logic
The score is weighted, explainable, and evidence-bounded.
The sample score uses a transparent weighted model. If a required evidence pillar is missing, ApertureRisks labels the gap instead of fabricating a score.
InputValueWeightContribution
Signal confidence920.312528.75
Exposure relevance880.37533.00
Business impact840.312526.25
Rounded AR-Score
88
Decision chain
From signal to exposure to action.
02
Exposure
Six inbound POs and one priority lane may be affected
The signal is linked to supplier records, facility context, purchase orders, customer promise dates, and lane data.
03
Impact
$18.6M revenue-at-risk window identified
The value is a decision estimate tied to operating records. It is not presented as a financial guarantee.
04
Confidence
Verified lane and PO exposure with 92% confidence
The brief separates verified records, inferred exposure, and missing evidence so leaders can see the limits before acting.
05
Action
Pre-book alternate capacity and assign owner
The output becomes a response recommendation with an owner, deadline, evidence request, and review boundary.
Recommended response
1
Confirm affected POs and customer promise dates before noon.
2
Pre-book alternate dray and port capacity through Charleston.
3
Prepare a finance note on the exposed revenue and margin window.
4
Assign logistics and procurement owners with a 24-hour review deadline.
Accountability
Owner
Logistics Director
Review deadline
24 hours
Evidence status
Verified exposure. Alternate capacity pending.
Boundary
ApertureRisks recommends. A human owner approves.
Truth controls
The score is designed not to overclaim.
The product value is not the number alone. The value is knowing why a score exists, what evidence supports it, and what still needs review.
No score is calculated when operating context is insufficient.
Exposure is labeled as verified, inferred, or unsupported.
Raw external alerts do not become client impact claims without linked records.
Recommendations require human owner review before execution.
Next step
See what your first AR-Score can actually support.
Bring a supplier file plus PO, BOM, contract, lane, facility, or evidence context. ApertureRisks will show what can be scored, what must be labeled as a gap, and what decision is ready for owner review.